Liverpool head to Turf Moor on Sunday with a perfect start to their Premier League defence still intact — but Burnley may offer a far trickier challenge than the odds suggest.
Burnley a different test for the champions
Arne Slot’s side are priced at 1/3 to take the points, but they struggled last season against sides who defended deep and ceded possession. Nottingham Forest, Crystal Palace and Everton all frustrated the Reds, and Scott Parker’s Clarets are capable of following that blueprint.
Burnley are unbeaten at home in the league since May 2024 and rarely lose heavily. In fact, only one of their last six top-flight home defeats came by more than a single goal. That resilience makes them a tough nut to crack for a Liverpool team that has lost three of its last five league away games.
Predictions
🔹 Burnley +1.5 Asian Handicap (10/11, bet365)
Burnley’s strong home record and Liverpool’s occasional away-day struggles point towards a close contest. The Clarets can keep this within a goal, making the handicap appealing value.
🔹 Liverpool to win 2-1 (15/2)
The champions still have the firepower to edge it, and a narrow 2-1 victory fits the pattern of their recent away wins.
🔹 Dominik Szoboszlai to score anytime (4/1)
The Hungarian midfielder has become Liverpool’s go-to man from set-pieces. After his stunning free-kick against Arsenal, he looks value to pop up again in a tight game.
Value angle
Burnley’s defensive organisation and home form make them an underrated bet with the handicap. Liverpool’s quality should shine through eventually, but don’t expect a rout.
Responsible Gambling
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