Germany vs Portugal – Nations League Semi-Final Predictions

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Germany may have home advantage heading into this Nations League semi-final, but Portugal look well-equipped to spoil the party in Munich.

Injuries have hit the hosts hard across key areas of the pitch, while Roberto Martinez’s Portugal side are balanced, battle-tested, and boast one of the strongest midfields in the tournament.

🇵🇹 Portugal value in the double chance market

Julian Nagelsmann will be without central defenders Antonio Rudiger and Nico Schlotterbeck, midfielders Jamal Musiala and Angelo Stiller, and forwards Kai Havertz and Tim Kleindienst — all of whom played vital roles during Germany’s Euro 2024 campaign.

That gives Portugal a real opportunity to take control, especially in the centre of the park where PSG stars Vitinha and Joao Neves have shone. Add Bruno Fernandes and Bernardo Silva into the mix, and the Portuguese look capable of dictating this one.

Tip 1: Portugal or Draw (Double Chance) @ 8/11
Portugal’s strength in midfield and Germany’s absentees make this a smart bet.
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❄️ Tight, tactical encounter expected

Germany threw away a 3-0 lead against Italy in March, and without their usual starters, they may struggle to build rhythm. Portugal have already shown they can shut teams down — their Euro 2024 stalemate with France is a case in point.

With so much at stake and Germany misfiring in attack, goals could be in short supply.

Tip 2: Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/5
This semi-final could mirror Portugal’s tense Euro knockout ties.
Get odds at Star Sports

✨ Fernandes to make the difference

Bruno Fernandes has been heavily involved in Portugal’s attacking play — scoring or assisting in five of his last seven international appearances. If Portugal are to reach the final, expect the Manchester United captain to play a key part.

Tip 3: Bruno Fernandes to Score or Assist @ 6/4
Fernandes is Portugal’s most consistent attacking outlet.
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