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Arsenal Are Top of the Betting Charts — But the Handicap Market Says Anyone’s Got a Shout
More than 50,000 outright bets are already in for 2026/27, and the Gunners have never been shorter to finally get their hands back on the trophy. We dug into where the money’s going across the title race, the top four, the drop zone, the Golden Boot — and the wildcard handicap market that keeps throwing up shocks.
Arsenal Backed Like Never Before to Retain the Title
Over 50,000 wagers have already landed on the Premier League Outright market, and 34.4% of them have gone the same way — on Arsenal. It’s the clearest sign yet that punters think last season wasn’t a one-off.
bet365’s Steve Freeth said: “Arsenal have finally ended years of being second best by securing the Premier League trophy. Our customers clearly believe that, much like London buses, you wait ages for one only for a second to follow; the Gunners are currently the most backed selection in the outright market.”
| Team | % of Slips | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 34.4% | 6/4 |
| Man City | 23.4% | 11/4 |
| Man United | 13.8% | 6/1 |
| Liverpool | 8.9% | 5/1 |
| Chelsea | 8.6% | 9/1 |
| Tottenham | 4.3% | 20/1 |
See here for the latest Premier League outright insights and news.
Top Four Race: Chelsea Getting Backed Big Under Alonso
The scrap for the top four is shaping up to be one of the tightest in years, and Xabi Alonso’s Chelsea are the fans’ pick to be there in May — over 1,700 of the 8,631 bets placed on the market have landed on the Blues.
| Team | % of Slips | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 20.32% | 10/11 |
| Man United | 18.65% | 4/7 |
| Man City | 14.61% | 2/7 |
| Arsenal | 12.39% | 1/8 |
| Tottenham | 10.89% | 3/1 |
| Liverpool | 10.13% | 4/9 |
See here for the latest Premier League outright insights and news.
Hull City Backed to Go Straight Back Down
It’s a familiar story for a promoted side — Hull City are priced at just 1/4 to make an immediate return to the Championship, and they’re carrying almost 30% of all relegation market bets.
| Team | % of Slips | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 28.29% | 1/4 |
| Ipswich Town | 15.81% | 4/6 |
| Newcastle United | 13.13% | 20/1 |
| Man City | 10.87% | 12/1 |
| Sunderland | 5.71% | 11/4 |
| Coventry City | 5.29% | 8/13 |
Haaland Odds-On to Make It Four Golden Boots Out of Five
No surprises at the top of the Golden Boot market — Erling Haaland has claimed the award in three of his four seasons at the Etihad, and 61.83% of all top goalscorer bets have gone his way.
| Player | % of Slips | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland | 61.83% | 4/6 |
| Alexander Isak | 6.00% | 9/1 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 4.25% | 20/1 |
| Joao Pedro | 4.20% | 16/1 |
| Viktor Gyokeres | 3.96% | 20/1 |
| Cole Palmer | 3.85% | 40/1 |
Forget the Table — the Handicap Market Says Anyone Can Win It
Fancy something different? The Premier League Handicap market gives every one of the 20 clubs a puncher’s chance, and recent history backs that up.
“Forget world-class players, wage bills and profit and sustainability, history has shown us that any of the 20 clubs can win the Premier League handicap, which is why it’s so popular. Sunderland were the latest side to win with a significant head start, following in the footsteps of Nottingham Forest +47, Aston Villa +32, Brentford +46, West Ham +44 and Sheffield United +52 over the last seven years, with Liverpool +7 sandwiched in between them in 2022 and Manchester City being the last side to win off scratch in 2018. Furthermore, three of the top four teams in the table last season were given starts of 38 or more (Brentford +38, Leeds +43) while Manchester United were given +21. Arsenal start on zero this season with Manchester City and Liverpool given starts of +3 and +7 respectively. Last season’s big underachievers were actually Wolverhampton Wanderers who, despite being given 39 points, still finished bottom, one point behind Arne Slot’s Liverpool.”— Steve Freeth, bet365
How it works: each club is handed a points total at the start of the season — essentially a head start. That handicap gets added to their actual points tally at the end of the campaign, and whoever comes out top wins the market. The team you back has to finish above every other side once the head starts are applied. Here’s how last season’s final handicap table shook out:
| Team | Handicap | Points | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | +52 | 54 | 106 |
| Manchester United | +21 | 71 | 92 |
| Brentford | +38 | 53 | 91 |
| Leeds United | +43 | 47 | 90 |
| Bournemouth | +32 | 57 | 89 |
| Arsenal | +3 | 85 | 88 |
| Aston Villa | +22 | 65 | 87 |
| Fulham | +33 | 52 | 85 |
| Everton | +33 | 49 | 82 |
| Manchester City | +3 | 78 | 81 |
| Brighton | +27 | 53 | 80 |
| Crystal Palace | +33 | 45 | 78 |
| Nottingham Forest | +32 | 44 | 76 |
| West Ham United | +35 | 39 | 74 |
| Burnley | +51 | 22 | 73 |
| Chelsea | +12 | 52 | 64 |
| Newcastle United | +15 | 49 | 64 |
| Tottenham | +22 | 41 | 63 |
| Liverpool | 0 | 60 | 60 |
| Wolves | +39 | 20 | 59 |
See here for the latest Premier League handicap news.
Done Deal Watch: Bet365 Transfer Specials
Plenty of ins and outs still to be sorted before the window shuts. Here’s where the money’s sitting on some of the summer’s biggest names (odds obtained 08:30, 28/07/2026):
- Adam Wharton (club on 01/09/2026) — Crystal Palace 4/6, Chelsea 7/2, Liverpool 6/1, Man City 14/1, Man United 14/1
- Ayyoub Bouaddi (club on 01/09/2026) — Man City 1/4, Lille 4/1, Arsenal 10/1, Real Madrid 12/1, Man United 14/1
- Darwin Nunez (club on 01/09/2026) — Any MLS Team 5/4, Besiktas 4/1, Galatasaray 8/1, Fenerbahce 10/1, Liverpool 10/1
- Dusan Vlahovic (club on 01/09/2026) — Juventus 5/6, Napoli 5/1, Besiktas 11/2, Barcelona 9/1, Man United 12/1
- Junior Kroupi (club on 01/09/2026) — Bournemouth 10/11, Barcelona 9/4, Man City 13/2, Tottenham 7/1, PSG 8/1
- Gabriel Jesus (club on 01/09/2026) — Arsenal 8/11, AC Milan 5/1, Palmeiras 8/1, Fenerbahce 10/1, Besiktas 12/1
- Gabriel Martinelli (club on 01/09/2026) — Arsenal 4/6, Atletico Madrid 7/2, Juventus 7/1, Roma 9/1, Any Saudi Arabian Team 10/1
- Jadon Sancho (club on 01/09/2026) — Any Qatari Team 2/1, Borussia Dortmund 3/1, Atletico Madrid 6/1, Any Saudi Arabian Team 8/1, Roma 10/1
- Julian Alvarez (club on 01/09/2026) — Atletico Madrid 1/3, Barcelona 3/1, Arsenal 5/1, PSG 16/1, Real Madrid 40/1
- Marcus Rashford (club on 01/09/2026) — Man United 1/2, Aston Villa 5/1, Chelsea 5/1, Tottenham 8/1, Arsenal 9/1
- Rafael Leao (club on 01/09/2026) — Fenerbahce 4/6, Galatasaray 7/2, AC Milan 7/1, Any Saudi Arabian Team 14/1, Man United 14/1
- Rodri (club on 01/09/2026) — Real Madrid 2/7, Man City 5/2, Barcelona 12/1, PSG 16/1, Atletico Madrid 80/1
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