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Claim The OfferEngland head to altitude for the biggest test of their World Cup so far. Thomas Tuchel’s side survived a scare against DR Congo in the Round of 32 — trailing before two late Harry Kane goals turned the game — and now travel to the 87,000-capacity Estadio Azteca to face co-hosts Mexico, who have not conceded a single goal in four matches at this tournament.
El Tri go into the last 16 unbeaten on home soil at a World Cup since 1986, with Javier Aguirre’s disciplined low block and Julián Quiñones’s pace on the counter causing problems for every side put in front of them. The altitude — the Azteca sits over 7,200ft above sea level — has been raised repeatedly by the England camp as a genuine concern heading into Sunday.
Match Odds
| England Win | Draw | Mexico Win |
|---|---|---|
| 3/2 | 21/10 | 2/1 |
Odds via bet365, correct at the time of writing and subject to change — check the app for the latest prices.
Team News
England
Kane starts as the focal point after five goals in four games. Bellingham and Anderson have been rotated through midfield, with Rashford providing width. Tuchel has been candid about the acclimatisation challenge at altitude and could freshen up the XI slightly for the extra running required at 7,200ft.
Mexico
Quiñones leads the line as Mexico’s top scorer with three goals, supported by Romo and Lira’s control in midfield. Aguirre’s side have been near-unbreakable defensively at the Azteca and will lean on home advantage and the altitude to unsettle England’s rhythm.
This is the tightest Round of 16 tie on paper so far. Mexico’s clean sheet record and home comforts make them dangerous, but England’s greater firepower — and Kane’s current form — edges the market in the Three Lions’ favour. Expect a cagey opening hour before quality tells.
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England 2–1 Mexico
Mexico will make this uncomfortable — the altitude, the crowd and their defensive discipline have troubled every opponent so far. But England have the sharper attacking options, and Kane’s record in this tournament suggests he’ll find a way through eventually. We’re backing a tight, nervy contest that swings England’s way late on.
Our lean is England to win alongside Kane to score anytime, with the Bet Builder Money Back offer giving cover on that combination if the Azteca throws up a surprise.
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