How we tipFootballmine · Updated 11 November 202618+ only

Form, then price. No price, no bet.

Every Footballmine verdict follows the same five steps. Here’s what happens before a tip goes in the programme.

The processFive steps to a verdict

  1. 01

    Watch the football

    We start with the games: recent form, home and away records, injuries, suspensions and how the managers are likely to set up.

  2. 02

    Check the numbers

    We look at goals, chances created and conceded, and expected goals, to see whether results match performances.

  3. 03

    Form a view

    We decide how likely each outcome is before we look closely at the odds, so the price doesn’t lead the opinion.

  4. 04

    Compare it with the price

    We convert the odds into an implied chance. We only tip a selection when we think the price underrates it.

  5. 05

    Say what could go wrong

    Every verdict names the main risk. If the case isn’t strong enough, we say “no bet” and leave it.

“A good team at a bad price is a bad bet. We’d rather skip a game than force a tip.“

Prices and stakesWhat our numbers mean

  • Odds are checked against bookmakers’ live prices when we publish, and dated. Prices move, so always check before you bet.
  • We never recommend stake sizes beyond “small”. Only bet what you’d happily spend on a ticket or a pint.
  • Our tips are opinions, not guarantees. Even well-judged bets lose often.

Data-led tipsSteam Room

Our recommended Telegram channel, Steam Room, uses a separate AI-powered predictions engine that tracks price moves and runs a machine-learning in-play model. It’s owned by the same group as Footballmine.

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